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Sitting On Your Hands Is Also A Position

hands

I have received a couple of questions this week asking if I am still trading.  The short answer is yes, I look at the charts daily.  The reason that I have not been blogging trades is that my setups have not been hit this month.

Actually, it did go off once, but I wasn’t [...]

How to Find New Possible Trade Setups

setups

Here is quick video on something I do when I backtest. I will go through historical periods when I don’t even place any trades. I just watch the price movement and see if I can identify any patterns that emerge in relation to the indicators that I am using.

This is example of one [...]

Back Testing Results - GBPJPY TriScreen Round 2

Hello,

I realized by looking that the first round of testing I didn’t show too many pictures and it was hard to visualize the trade so I am going to include more screenshots.

As you might notice, this round of testing was done with the new version of ForexTester.  I really like it.  The original version was good but this version is much more like Metatrader, has added some very useful features and much more user friendly.

As I mentioned in the first round of testing, entering with two equal sized lots really created a sharp increase in profitability towards the end of the testing.  Therefore, in this round I did that from the beginning to see if that would make a measurable difference.

The TriScreen trade is as follows (updated from last round of testing):

Click here to continue reading Back Testing Results – GBPJPY TriScreen Round 2 >>

Back Testing Results - GBPJPY TriScreen Test 1

I just completed test number 1 of the TriScreen trade on the GBPJPY with Forex Tester.

The TriScreen trade is as follows:

  • Looking for MACD (12, 26, 9) divergence on the 1 hour chart.
  • Williams %R (62 period, 10/90 signal lines) has to roll out of overbought or oversold.
  • Price has to be hitting a support or resistance point.  The second peak has to be equal or greater than the first.
  • Looking for long wicks or twin towers at the resistance points.

Entry

Price has to be hitting a support or resistance point.  The second peak has to be equal or greater than the first.  Enter 2 positions as soon as %R rolls out of the signal areas.

Target

  • Minimum 1:1 Risk:Reward ratio
  • Target next support or resistance level

Stop

Above or below highest resistance or support point.

Exit

Exit one lot when price hits the target limit.  Move the stop on the second position to +5 pips.

Click here to see an example.

Click here to continue reading Back Testing Results – GBPJPY TriScreen Test 1 >>

Head and Shoulders Testing

I just completed another round of testing on the GBPJPY 1 hour charts, testing only the head and shoulders pattern. My parameters were:

  • Look for bounce of right shoulder near the same level as the left shoulder.
  • The bounce has to be confirmed by a candle that either shows a long wick at the left shoulder level or a sharp rejection of that level.
  • Place stop 15-20 pips above the rejection candle of right shoulder.
  • Target previous swing low/high and be sure reward/risk is >= 1:1.

Here are the results:

Click here to continue reading Head and Shoulders Testing >>

More Testing

I just finished another round of testing with excellent results.  I tested support an resistance trades on the EURUSD 4 hour chart.  Starting with $10,000 I ended with $15,118.84 from 2001 to 2008.  Not a huge return on a yearly basis but profitable nonetheless.  See my Forex Tester screen below: EUR/USD Support and Resistance Trading Some things that I learned from this round of testing:

Click here to continue reading More Testing >>

Forex Back Testing Software

Test Your Strategies First With Forex Backtesting Software

When I first started in Forex, I was looking around for affordable, easy to use forex backtesting software. This is the one I found and I still continue to use it. Read this article to find out why. [...]